Walter
Bressert's ProfitTrader 7.0™: FibCounts
Accurate identification of cycle tops and bottoms keeps dollar losses low
and increases the potential for sizable profits. The FibCounts indicator
makes time projections that help increase the accuracy of buying cycle bottoms
and selling cycle tops. |
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The
FibCounts indicators forecast the standard Fibonacci points (13, 21, 34,
55, 89,144) into the future from any 3 cycle tops or bottoms identified
by letters that match the letters in the indicators. An overlap, or cluster
of Fibonacci points in the future will show time points (plus/minus several
price bars) that often develop into cycle tops or bottoms. When these time
periods match oscillator highs and lows, a greater accuracy of the mechanical
Buy/Sell signals can be expected. Also, FibCounts matching FibPods will
often indicate greater potential for significant moves following cycle highs
and lows. |
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Chart#1 shows how cycles, oscillators and FibCounts can be combined for high probability
cycle identification and trading. The highs and lows of the cycles are
indicated by the dots on the price bars. The blue dots identify cycle
highs; the red dots identify cycle lows. |
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The
FibCounts can be plotted on a separate chart, or ideally, on a larger
chart below the Fib Pod projections. Wherever they are plotted,
a swing high or low, or oscillator high or low that coincides with
one or more FibCount points has a greater potential of being a cycle
bottom or top. |
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Two
sets of FibCounts are plotted. The colored FibCount dots above
the oscillators are calculated from points A, B and C. The small
red dots at the left of the chart are below the price bars that
begin the counts. The purple dots are for A, the green dots for
B and the Blue dots for C. The FibCount dots that occur as the
oscillator tops and bottoms, as at 1, 2, 3 and 4 show an increased
potential for cycle tops/bottoms to form and be followed by tradable
moves. |
A
second set of 3 FibCounts plotted from EFG runs through the oscillator
subgraph. The purple dots are from E, the green dots from F and
the blue dots from G. These FibCount dots increase the potential
for cycle tops/bottoms at 1, 2 and 3, while helping to identify
cycle turning points at 6, and 7. |
The
shorter-term FibCount points starting from the ABC and the EFG
have many "hits" as indicated by the cycle tops and bottoms on
or near cycle tops and bottoms as indicated by the vertical red
lines. As the market moves out in time, the FibCount time periods
lengthen so there are fewer dots; but notice the hits for the
three FibCount points with the cycles and oscillators in August.
Usually, we will look for a cycle top or bottom to occur within
1 price bar of the FibCount point in the shorter time counts.
Two or three points can be used on either side of the FibCount
point in the longer-term time counts. But it is not unusual for
them to hit exactly, as they did in August. |
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Swing
highs and lows and oscillator highs and lows that coincide with FibCount
points have an increased tendency to develop into cycle tops and bottoms. |
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