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PROFIT
TRADER TIMING BANDS
Cycle
projections allow reasonably accurate forecasting of significant time
periods for future tops and bottoms. The cycles used in our analysis are
as long as four years for the Stock Market, and as short-term as minutes
or ticks for intraday trading.
The ProfitTrader
Timing Bands, a powerful forecasting and trading tool based on historical
cycle tops and bottoms, forecast the most probable time periods for cycle
tops and bottoms. Timing Bands for current time are plotted on a chart,
but do not show beyond the edge of the chart. However, the exact dates/time
periods for forecasting future Timing Bands may be viewed in the MetaStock
Expert Advisor.
How
Timing Bands are Constructed
Seventy percent of all cycle tops and bottoms have occurred on,
or after, the beginning of a Timing Band. Forty percent of the historical
cycle tops and bottoms have occurred within the time parameters of a Timing
Band. Thirty percent occurred before the beginning of the Timing Band,
and 30% occurred after the end of the Band.
Because
price cycles are not exact and can contract and extend, a 20-day cycle
will not bottom every 20 days. One cycle might be 15 days, another might
be 26-days from bottom-to- bottom. Timing Bands quantify cycles and accommodate
this shift in time. Generally, the most symmetrical, balanced and tradable
cycles occur within the middle 40%, and the cycles that have a sizeable
extension occur in the last 30%. It is the 30% of cycle tops and bottoms
occurring before the timing bands that are often the riskiest to trade because often a swing top or bottom can look like a cycle top
or bottom until the market makes a quick reversal and stops you out.
When trading
the markets, Timing Bands are a guideline to improve the accuracy of the
Mechanical Buy/Sell Signals generated by the Bressert Double Stochastic.
These Buy and Sell Signals have an average accuracy of identifying cycle
tops and bottoms across all time frames of better than 70% that is increased
when the signal occurs within a Timing Band. |