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      TIME 
        CYCLES: The Interplay of Cycles within Cycles 
      The key to 
        trading with cycles is an understanding of the interplay of cycles within 
        cycles.  
      
        
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          Almost 
            all tarding cycles have a 1/2 trading cycle (see folloiwng illustration). 
            A 20-day (bar) trading cycle has within it two 10-day (bar) cycles. 
            One 10-day cycle begins as the 20-day cycle egins and bottoms halfway 
            into the 20-day cycle. As the first 10-day cycle ends the second 
            10-day cycle begins, and it ends as the 20-day cycle bottoms. Therefore, 
            a 20-day trading cycle always begins and ends with a 10-day cycle.  | 
         
       
       
      
      
        
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              Right 
                Translation Bull Market 
                 
                In bull markets showing right translation, the top of the 20-day 
                cycle is most often the top of the second 10-day cycle. Right translation 
                shows in the time periods for bottoms and tops of the trading cycle. 
                On average the move from bottom to top will be three weeks, and 
                the move from top to bottom, one week. Knowing this makes it easier 
                to hold a long position through the decline into the bottom of the 
                first 10-day cycle, or even add on to the long position, expecting 
                to take profits as the second 10-day cycle tops, often with a mechanical 
                sell signal. 
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              Left 
                Translation Bear Market 
                 
                In a bear market with left translation the top of the 20-day cycle 
                is most often made as the first 10-day cycle tops. Left translation 
                shows in the time periods for bottoms and tops of the trading cycle. 
                On average the move from bottom to top will be one week, and the 
                move from top to bottom, three weeks. Knowing this can give you 
                the confidence to hold a short position through the rise into the 
                high of the second 10-day cycle, or add on to the short position 
                expecting to take profits as the 20-day and 10-day cycles bottom 
                with a mechanical buy signal.   | 
         
       
      Cycles are 
        the only technical tools that allow for reasonably accurate forecasting of 
        future tops and bottoms. The cycles used in our analysis are as long as 
        4 years for the Stock Market, and as short-term as minutes or ticks for 
        intraday trading.   |